Stearns, KY 42653 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 58
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Home Value
$103,980
−9.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
58
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
64 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
17%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
20%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-32%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$88
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 32% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are down 9.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 4% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 17% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−27% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (58/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.8% below their final list price; 17% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 20% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $28k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $88 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +8% over the next 12 months (55% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.6% to +7.7% (80% range; middle estimate +0.6%), chance of a rise 55%, of a 5%+ drop 19%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in McCreary County, KY
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Williamsburg, KY 42635 | $122K | −11.1% | 100 |
| Stearns, KY 42647 | $92.4K | −13.6% | 51 |
| Strunk, KY 42649 | $111.6K | −8.3% | 97 |
| Burnside, KY 42634 | $64.7K | −15.9% | 96 |
| Revelo, KY 42638 | – | – | – |
| ZIP 42631 | – | – | 55 |