Cincinnati, OH 45203 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 78
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Home Value
$348,916
−5.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
78
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
10.7 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
35 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
40%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.6%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
129%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-9.0%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$99
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 9% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are down 5.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 220% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+60% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (78/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.4% below their final list price; 40% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 129% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $95k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,357 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $99 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −11% to +5% over the next 12 months (37% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A fall is somewhat more likely than a rise, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −10.9% to +5.4% (80% range; middle estimate −1.7%), chance of a rise 37%, of a 5%+ drop 29%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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