Cincinnati, OH 45231 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 32
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Home Value
$215,332
+0.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
32
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
47 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
39%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.4%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
26%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,562/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
48%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$81
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 48% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 0.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 26% below the 2017-19 norm: still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (32/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.6% below their final list price; 39% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 26% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $61k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,265 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Owning and renting a typical home cost about the same per month.
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $81 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +9% over the next 12 months (62% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.6% to +8.7% (80% range; middle estimate +1.7%), chance of a rise 62%, of a 5%+ drop 16%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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