Cincinnati, OH 45227 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 49
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Home Value
$283,038
−1.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
49
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
30 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
58%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.8%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
32%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,563/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
44%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$123
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 44% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 1.3% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 36% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+51% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (49/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.2% below their final list price; 58% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 32% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $77k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,442 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $353/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $123 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (58% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.2% to +8.1% (80% range; middle estimate +1.0%), chance of a rise 58%, of a 5%+ drop 18%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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