Cincinnati, OH 45233 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 36
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Home Value
$350,305
+2.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
36
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.7 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
49 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
36%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
26%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,745/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
26%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$90
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 26% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 19% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+50% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (36/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.9% below their final list price; 36% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 26% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $94k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,261 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $613/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $90 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (67% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.8% to +9.5% (80% range; middle estimate +2.5%), chance of a rise 67%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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