Spring Park, MN 55384 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 37
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Home Value
$582,980
+5.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
37
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
6.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
41 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
9.1%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
101.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
90%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
70%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$83
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 70% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 5.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 350% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+38% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (37/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (101.1% of list); 9% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 90% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $144k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,523 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $83 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (70% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.1% to +10.2% (80% range; middle estimate +3.1%), chance of a rise 70%, of a 5%+ drop 12%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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