Minneapolis, MN 55414 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 61
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Home Value
$340,069
−1.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
61
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.3 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
39 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
35%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.9%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
52%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,513/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-20%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$77
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 20% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are down 1.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 12% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 42% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+20% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (61/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.1% below their final list price; 35% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 52% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $90k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,957 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $733/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $77 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (51% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.1% to +7.2% (80% range; middle estimate +0.1%), chance of a rise 51%, of a 5%+ drop 21%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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