Minneapolis, MN 55411 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 57
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Home Value
$241,864
+1.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
57
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.1 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
48 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
29%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
33%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,828/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
11%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$81
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 11% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 71% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+37% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (57/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.2% of list); 29% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 33% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $66k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,255 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $186/mo less than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $81 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (53% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.9% to +7.4% (80% range; middle estimate +0.3%), chance of a rise 53%, of a 5%+ drop 20%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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