Minneapolis, MN 55418 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 34
Open on the mapMarket report (PDF)Compare
Home Value
$351,813
+2.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
34
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
36 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
36%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
101.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
28%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,741/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
3.2%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$85
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+3% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 45% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+71% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (34/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (101.2% of list); 36% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 28% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $94k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,262 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $619/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $85 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +9% over the next 12 months (62% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.5% to +8.8% (80% range; middle estimate +1.8%), chance of a rise 62%, of a 5%+ drop 16%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
Follow Minneapolis, MN 55418
One email a month: what changed in prices, supply and the outlook. Unsubscribe any time.