Tulsa, OK 74126 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 79
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Home Value
$96,307
+0.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
79
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
6.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
60 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
24%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.4%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
21%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,166/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
24%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$123
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 24% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 0.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 39% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+43% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (79/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.6% below their final list price; 24% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 21% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $29k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,164 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $435/mo less than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $123 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +11% over the next 12 months (72% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.7% to +10.7% (80% range; middle estimate +3.6%), chance of a rise 72%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Osage County, OK
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa, OK 74127 | $138.5K | −2.2% | 68 |
| Skiatook, OK 74070 | $282.8K | +5.8% | 30 |
| Bartlesville, OK 74003 | $111.7K | +4.1% | 31 |
| Ponca City, OK 74604 | $222K | +4.8% | 65 |
| Sperry, OK 74073 | $284.9K | +4.4% | 63 |
| Pawhuska, OK 74056 | $112.2K | +3.5% | 97 |
| Hominy, OK 74035 | $119.7K | −0.1% | 83 |
| Barnsdall, OK 74002 | $153.7K | +9.9% | 24 |
| Fairfax, OK 74637 | $73.4K | +16.9% | 88 |
| Osage, OK 74054 | – | – | 1 |
| Pawhuska, OK 74652 | $111.6K | +2.8% | 2 |
| Ralston, OK 74650 | $138.6K | −2.2% | 17 |
| Burbank, OK 74633 | – | – | 13 |
| Wynona, OK 74084 | – | – | 12 |
| Prue, OK 74060 | – | – | 13 |
| ZIP 74001 | – | – | 69 |