Tulsa, OK 74127 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 68
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Home Value
$138,452
−2.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
68
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
49 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
29%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
26%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,239/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
58%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$169
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 58% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 2.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 61% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+14% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (68/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.5% below their final list price; 29% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 26% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $40k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,367 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $243/mo less than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $169 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (74% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.4% to +10.9% (80% range; middle estimate +3.8%), chance of a rise 74%, of a 5%+ drop 10%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Osage County, OK
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Skiatook, OK 74070 | $282.8K | +5.8% | 30 |
| Bartlesville, OK 74003 | $111.7K | +4.1% | 31 |
| Ponca City, OK 74604 | $222K | +4.8% | 65 |
| Tulsa, OK 74126 | $96.3K | +0.8% | 79 |
| Sperry, OK 74073 | $284.9K | +4.4% | 63 |
| Pawhuska, OK 74056 | $112.2K | +3.5% | 97 |
| Hominy, OK 74035 | $119.7K | −0.1% | 83 |
| Barnsdall, OK 74002 | $153.7K | +9.9% | 24 |
| Fairfax, OK 74637 | $73.4K | +16.9% | 88 |
| Osage, OK 74054 | – | – | 1 |
| Pawhuska, OK 74652 | $111.6K | +2.8% | 2 |
| Ralston, OK 74650 | $138.6K | −2.2% | 17 |
| Burbank, OK 74633 | – | – | 13 |
| Wynona, OK 74084 | – | – | 12 |
| Prue, OK 74060 | – | – | 13 |
| ZIP 74001 | – | – | 69 |