Houston, TX 77081 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 82
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Home Value
$249,757
+2.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
82
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
9.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
57 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
26%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
92.9%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
51%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$970/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
2.2%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$213
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+2% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 36% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+32% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (82/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 7.1% below their final list price; 26% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 51% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $74k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,862 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $885/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $213 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (58% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.2% to +8.1% (80% range; middle estimate +1.1%), chance of a rise 58%, of a 5%+ drop 18%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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