Houston, TX 77091 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 54
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Home Value
$261,400
−3.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
54
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
7.1 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
35 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
14%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
61%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,731/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
70%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$231
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 70% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 3.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 7% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 330% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−13% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (54/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.3% below their final list price; 14% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 61% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $72k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,511 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Owning and renting a typical home cost about the same per month.
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $231 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (57% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.3% to +8.0% (80% range; middle estimate +1.0%), chance of a rise 57%, of a 5%+ drop 18%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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