Blackfoot, ID 83221 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 59
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Home Value
$376,966
+3.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
59
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.7 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
49 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
34%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
90.0%
Apr 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
36%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,010/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
49%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$128
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 49% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.3% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 4% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−23% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (59/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 10.0% below their final list price (as of Apr 2026); 34% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 36% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $89k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,350 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $1,220/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $128 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +12% over the next 12 months (80% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.0% to +12.4% (80% range; middle estimate +5.3%), chance of a rise 80%, of a 5%+ drop 7%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Bingham County, ID
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shelley, ID 83274 | $441.2K | +3.0% | 96 |
| Aberdeen, ID 83210 | $308.2K | +7.8% | 99 |
| Blackfoot, ID 83236 | $441.5K | +4.0% | 67 |
| Pingree, ID 83262 | $443.3K | +6.7% | 15 |
| Basalt, ID 83218 | – | – | 70 |
| Springfield, ID 83277 | – | – | 13 |
| ZIP 83203 | – | – | 17 |
| Atomic City, ID 83215 | – | – | 41 |