Shelley, ID 83274 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 96
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Home Value
$441,211
+3.0% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
96
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
8.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
47 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
33%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
102.1%
Feb 2025
Mtg Payment as % of Income
33%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
36%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$129
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 36% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.0% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 245% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+47% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (96/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (102.1% of list) (as of Feb 2025); 33% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 33% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $101k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,356 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $129 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (66% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −6.8% to +9.5% (80% range; middle estimate +2.5%), chance of a rise 66%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Bingham County, ID
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackfoot, ID 83221 | $377K | +3.3% | 59 |
| Aberdeen, ID 83210 | $308.2K | +7.8% | 99 |
| Blackfoot, ID 83236 | $441.5K | +4.0% | 67 |
| Pingree, ID 83262 | $443.3K | +6.7% | 15 |
| Basalt, ID 83218 | – | – | 70 |
| Springfield, ID 83277 | – | – | 13 |
| ZIP 83203 | – | – | 17 |
| Atomic City, ID 83215 | – | – | 41 |