San Jose, CA 95110 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 61
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Home Value
$805,147
−2.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
61
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
54 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
46%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.9%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
44%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$3,305/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-13%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$452
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 13% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are down 2.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 15% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 139% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+74% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (61/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.9% of list); 46% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 44% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $193k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $1,508/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $452 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from earthquakes. Earthquakes aren't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (49% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A fall is somewhat more likely than a rise, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.4% to +6.9% (80% range; middle estimate −0.1%), chance of a rise 49%, of a 5%+ drop 22%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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