Rutherford, TN 38369 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 70
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Home Value
$149,609
+0.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
70
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
71 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
14%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.4%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
24%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
23%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$252
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 23% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are flat over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 38% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+20% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (70/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.6% below their final list price; 14% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 24% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $40k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,640 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $252 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from earthquakes. Earthquakes aren't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (68% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.6% to +9.7% (80% range; middle estimate +2.7%), chance of a rise 68%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Gibson County, TN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Humboldt, TN 38343 | $184.3K | +2.6% | 58 |
| Milan, TN 38358 | $187.2K | +1.8% | 48 |
| Trenton, TN 38382 | $164.6K | +0.5% | 82 |
| Dyer, TN 38330 | $155.5K | +4.6% | 27 |
| Bradford, TN 38316 | $171.4K | +4.2% | 42 |
| Kenton, TN 38233 | $152.2K | +8.5% | 100 |
| ZIP 38389 | – | – | 0 |
| ZIP 38338 | – | – | 65 |