Trenton, TN 38382 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 82
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Home Value
$164,589
+0.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
82
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.1 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
70 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
42%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
20%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-5.7%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$226
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 6% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are up 0.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 20% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+11% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (82/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.3% below their final list price; 42% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 20% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $43k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,640 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $226 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from earthquakes.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +9% over the next 12 months (61% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.7% to +8.6% (80% range; middle estimate +1.6%), chance of a rise 61%, of a 5%+ drop 16%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Gibson County, TN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Humboldt, TN 38343 | $184.3K | +2.6% | 58 |
| Milan, TN 38358 | $187.2K | +1.8% | 48 |
| Dyer, TN 38330 | $155.5K | +4.6% | 27 |
| Bradford, TN 38316 | $171.4K | +4.2% | 42 |
| Kenton, TN 38233 | $152.2K | +8.5% | 100 |
| Rutherford, TN 38369 | $149.6K | +0.2% | 70 |
| ZIP 38389 | – | – | 0 |
| ZIP 38338 | – | – | 65 |