Belfry, KY 41514 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 60
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Home Value
$82,091
−13.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
60
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
8.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
98 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
92.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
18%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-25%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$375
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 25% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are down 13.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 27% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 65% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+100% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (60/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 8.0% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 18% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $24k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,387 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $375 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (49% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A fall is somewhat more likely than a rise, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.3% to +7.0% (80% range; middle estimate 0.0%), chance of a rise 49%, of a 5%+ drop 22%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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