Virgie, KY 41572 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 70
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Home Value
$92,285
−5.0% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
70
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
90 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
20%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
19%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
32%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$435
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 32% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 5.0% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 8% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 27% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+125% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (70/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.3% below their final list price; 20% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 19% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $26k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,387 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $435 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (68% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.5% to +9.8% (80% range; middle estimate +2.8%), chance of a rise 68%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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