Fall City, WA 98024 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 62
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Home Value
$1.2M
−0.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
62
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.7 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
92 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
15%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
55%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
49%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$250
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 49% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 0.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 4% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 46% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+43% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (62/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.8% below their final list price; 15% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 55% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $295k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,917 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $250 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (56% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.4% to +7.9% (80% range; middle estimate +0.8%), chance of a rise 56%, of a 5%+ drop 19%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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