Seattle, WA 98125 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 55
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Home Value
$790,152
−2.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
55
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
41 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
26%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.6%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
56%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,897/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
3.4%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$187
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+3% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are down 2.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 9% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 153% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+32% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (55/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.4% below their final list price; 26% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 56% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $187k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,387 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $2,783/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $187 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from earthquakes.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −10% to +7% over the next 12 months (47% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A fall is somewhat more likely than a rise, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.6% to +6.7% (80% range; middle estimate −0.4%), chance of a rise 47%, of a 5%+ drop 23%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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