Redmond, WA 98052 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 55
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Home Value
$1.3M
−4.0% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
55
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
40 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
21%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.6%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
55%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$2,626/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
54%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$196
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 54% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 4.0% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 10% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 113% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+32% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (55/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.4% below their final list price; 21% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 55% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $301k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,562 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $4,889/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $196 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from earthquakes.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −10% to +7% over the next 12 months (46% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A fall is somewhat more likely than a rise, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.8% to +6.5% (80% range; middle estimate −0.5%), chance of a rise 46%, of a 5%+ drop 24%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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