Gig Harbor, WA 98329 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 52
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Home Value
$601,266
+0.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
52
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.3 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
56 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
26%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.8%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
39%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
45%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$201
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 45% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 0.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 20% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+11% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (52/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.2% below their final list price; 26% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 39% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $145k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,636 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $201 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from earthquakes.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (60% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.9% to +8.4% (80% range; middle estimate +1.3%), chance of a rise 60%, of a 5%+ drop 17%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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