Wilkeson, WA 98396 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 1
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Home Value
$458,158
−0.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
1
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.5 months
Jun 2026
Days on Market
37 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
30%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
36%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$320
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 36% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are flat over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 67% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−33% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (1/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.0% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 30% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $111k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,387 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $320 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (67% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.7% to +9.6% (80% range; middle estimate +2.6%), chance of a rise 67%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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