Vaughn, WA 98394 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 61
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Home Value
$724,164
+0.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
61
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
47 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
33%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.4%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
106%
Dec 2023
Overvalued %
162%
Dec 2023
Expected Disaster Loss
$223
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 162% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are flat over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 114% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−17% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (61/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.6% below their final list price; 33% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 106% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $171k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,640 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $223 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from earthquakes.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (64% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.2% to +9.1% (80% range; middle estimate +2.1%), chance of a rise 64%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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