Roy, WA 98580 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 67
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Home Value
$624,859
+0.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
67
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
58 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
36%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
43%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
29%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$190
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 29% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are flat over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 48% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+61% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (67/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.2% of list); 36% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 43% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $151k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,465 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $190 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +9% over the next 12 months (61% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.7% to +8.6% (80% range; middle estimate +1.5%), chance of a rise 61%, of a 5%+ drop 16%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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